@article{3057700,
    title = "Horizon scanning for invasive alien species with the potential to threaten biodiversity and human health on a Mediterranean island",
    author = "Peyton, J. and Martinou, A.F. and Pescott, O.L. and Demetriou, M. and Adriaens, T. and Arianoutsou, M. and Bazos, I. and Bean, C.W. and Booy, O. and Botham, M. and Britton, J.R. and Cervia, J.L. and Charilaou, P. and Chartosia, N. and Dean, H.J. and Delipetrou, P. and Dimitriou, A.C. and Dörflinger, G. and Fawcett, J. and Fyttis, G. and Galanidis, A. and Galil, B. and Hadjikyriakou, T. and Hadjistylli, M. and Ieronymidou, C. and Jimenez, C. and Karachle, P. and Kassinis, N. and Kerametsidis, G. and Kirschel, A.N.G. and Kleitou, P. and Kleitou, D. and Manolaki, P. and Michailidis, N. and Mountford, J.O. and Nikolaou, C. and Papatheodoulou, A. and Payiatas, G. and Ribeiro, F. and Rorke, S.L. and Samuel, Y. and Savvides, P. and Schafer, S.M. and Tarkan, A.S. and Silva-Rocha, I. and Top, N. and Tricarico, E. and Turvey, K. and Tziortzis, I. and Tzirkalli, E. and Verreycken, H. and Winfield, I.J. and Zenetos, A. and Roy, H.E.",
    journal = "Biological Invasions",
    year = "2019",
    volume = "21",
    number = "6",
    pages = "2107-2125",
    publisher = "Springer International Publishing",
    issn = "1387-3547, 1573-1464",
    doi = "10.1007/s10530-019-01961-7",
    keywords = "biodiversity;  biological invasion;  disease transmission;  ecosystem function;  introduced species;  island;  maximum likelihood analysis;  Mediterranean environment;  public health;  vulnerability, Cyprus",
    abstract = "Invasive alien species (IAS) are one of the major drivers of change that can negatively affect biodiversity, ecosystem functions and services and human health; islands are particularly vulnerable to biological invasions. Horizon scanning can lead to prioritisation of IAS to inform decision-making and action; its scale and scope can vary depending on the need. We focussed on IAS likely to arrive, establish and affect biodiversity and human health on the Mediterranean island of Cyprus. The scope of the horizon scanning was the entire island of Cyprus. We used a two-step consensus-building process in which experts reviewed and scored lists of alien species on their likelihood of arrival, establishment and potential to affect biodiversity, ecosystems and/or human health in the next 10 years. We reviewed 225 alien species, considered to be currently absent on Cyprus, across taxa and environments. We agreed upon 100 species that constituted very high, high or medium biodiversity risk, often arriving through multiple pathways of introduction. The remaining 125 species were ranked as low risk. The potential impacts on human health were documented for all 225 species; 82 species were considered to have a potentially negative impact on human health ranging from nuisance to disease transmission. The scope of the horizon scanning was the entire island of Cyprus, but the thematic groups also considered the relevance of the top 100 species to the Sovereign Base Areas of Cyprus, given their differing governance. This horizon scan provides the first systematic exercise to identify invasive alien species of potential concern to biodiversity and ecosystems but also human health within the Mediterranean region. The process and outcomes should provide other islands in the region and beyond with baseline data to improve IAS prioritisation and management. © 2019, The Author(s)."
}