@article{3161893, title = "Baseline osteocalcin levels and incident diabetes in a 3-year prospective study of high-risk individuals", author = "Liatis, S. and Sfikakis, P. P. and Tsiakou, A. and Stathi, C. and and Terpos, E. and Katsilambros, N. and Makrilakis, K.", journal = "Diabetes & Metabolism", year = "2014", volume = "40", number = "3", pages = "198-203", publisher = "Masson Editeur", issn = "1262-3636", doi = "10.1016/j.diabet.2014.01.001", keywords = "Osteocalcin; Bone density; Type 2 diabetes", abstract = "Aim. - Experimental evidence suggests that osteocalcin is a key messenger that affects both adipocytes and insulin-producing beta cells. Epidemiological cross-sectional studies have shown a negative association between plasma levels of osteocalcin and glucose. For this reason, the hypothesis that lower baseline osteocalcin plasma levels are associated with diabetes was prospectively tested. Methods. - The study population consisted of individuals at high risk for type 2 diabetes who were screened for participation in the Greek arm of a European type 2 diabetes prevention study (the DE-PLAN study). All participants were free of diabetes at baseline and underwent a second evaluation 3 years later. Diabetes status was defined according to an oral glucose tolerance test. Results. - A total of 307 subjects were included in the present analysis. The population, including 154 men (50.3%), was middle-aged (54.4 +/- 10.2 years) and overweight (BMI: 29.5 +/- 4.9 kg/m(2)). At baseline, mean total plasma osteocalcin was lower in those with impaired fasting glucose and/or impaired glucose tolerance compared with those with normal glucose tolerance (6.0 +/- 3.1 ng/mL vs. 7.3 +/- 4.0 ng/mL, respectively; P = 0.01). After 3 years, 36 subjects had developed diabetes. In the prospective evaluation, there was no association between baseline osteocalcin levels and diabetes (OR: 1.04 per 1 ng/mL, 95% CI: 0.93-1.15; P = 0.49) on multivariable logistic regression analysis, nor was there any correlation with changes in plasma glucose after 3 years (r = 0.09, P = 0.38). Conclusion. - Our prospective results show that lower levels of circulating osteocalcin do not predict future diabetes development and, in contrast to most cross-sectional published data so far, suggest that this molecule may not be playing a major role in glucose homoeostasis in humans. (C) 2014 Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved." }