TY - JOUR TI - Impact of nonoptimal intakes of saturated, polyunsaturated, and trans fat on global burdens of coronary heart disease AU - Wang, Q. AU - Afshin, A. AU - Yakoob, M.Y. AU - Singh, G.M. AU - Rehm, C.D. AU - Khatibzadeh, S. AU - Micha, R. AU - Shi, P. AU - Mozaffarian, D. AU - Ezzati, M. AU - Fahimi, S. AU - Wirojratana, P. AU - Powles, J. AU - Elmadfa, I. AU - Rao, M. AU - Alpert, W. AU - Lim, S.S. AU - Engell, R.E. AU - Andrews, K.G. AU - Abbott, P.A. AU - Abdollahi, M. AU - Abeyá Gilardon, E.O. AU - Ahsan, H. AU - Al Nsour, M.A.A. AU - Al-Hooti, S.N. AU - Arambepola, C. AU - Fernando, D.N. AU - Barennes, H. AU - Barquera, S. AU - Baylin, A. AU - Becker, W. AU - Bjerregaard, P. AU - Bourne, L.T. AU - Capanzana, M.V. AU - Castetbon, K. AU - Chang, H.-Y. AU - Chen, Y. AU - Cowan, M.J. AU - Riley, L.M. AU - De Henauw, S. AU - Ding, E.L. AU - Duante, C.A. AU - Duran, P. AU - Barbieri, H.E. AU - Farzadfar, F. AU - Hadziomeragic, A.F. AU - Fisberg, R.M. AU - Forsyth, S. AU - Garriguet, D. AU - Gaspoz, J.-M. AU - Gauci, D. AU - Calleja, N. AU - Ginnela, B.N.V. AU - Guessous, I. AU - Gulliford, M.C. AU - Hadden, W. AU - Haerpfer, C. AU - Hoffman, D.J. AU - Houshiar-Rad, A. AU - Huybrechts, I. AU - Hwalla, N.C. AU - Ibrahim, H.M. AU - Inoue, M. AU - Jackson, M.D. AU - Johansson, L. AU - Keinan-Boker, L. AU - Kim, C.-I. AU - Koksal, E. AU - Lee, H.-J. AU - Li, Y. AU - Lipoeto, N.I. AU - Ma, G. AU - Mangialavori, G.L. AU - Matsumura, Y. AU - McGarvey, S.T. AU - Fen, C.M. AU - Monge-Rojas, R.A. AU - Musaiger, A.O. AU - Nagalla, B. AU - Naska, A. AU - Ocke, M.C. AU - Oltarzewski, M. AU - Szponar, L. AU - Orfanos, P. AU - Ovaskainen, M.-L. AU - Tapanainen, H. AU - Pan, W.-H. AU - Panagiotakos, D.B. AU - Pekcan, G.A. AU - Petrova, S. AU - Piaseu, N. AU - Pitsavos, C. AU - Posada, L.G. AU - Sánchez-Romero, L.M. AU - Selamat, R.B.T. AU - Sharma, S. AU - Sibai, A.M. AU - Sichieri, R. AU - Simmala, C. AU - Steingrimsdottir, L. AU - Swan, G. AU - Sygnowska, E.H. AU - Templeton, R. AU - Thanopoulou, A. AU - Thorgeirsdóttir, H. AU - Thorsdottir, I. AU - Trichopoulou, A. AU - Tsugane, S. AU - Turrini, A. AU - Vaask, S. AU - van Oosterhout, C. AU - Veerman, J.L. AU - Verena, N. AU - Waskiewicz, A. AU - Zaghloul, S. AU - Zajkás, G. JO - Journal of the American Heart Association PY - 2016 VL - 5 TODO - 1 SP - null PB - John Wiley and Sons Inc SN - 2047-9980 TODO - 10.1161/JAHA.115.002891 TODO - polyunsaturated fatty acid; saturated fatty acid; trans fatty acid; fat intake; omega 6 fatty acid; trans fatty acid, Article; Bayes theorem; Canada; carbohydrate intake; cause of death; cerebrovascular accident; dietary intake; Egypt; fat intake; food availability; human; ICD-10; ischemic heart disease; low income country; middle income country; mortality rate; Pakistan; priority journal; risk assessment; risk factor; sensitivity analysis; trend study; administration and dosage; adverse effects; age distribution; Coronary Disease; diet; dietary reference intake; fat intake; female; male; Markov chain; Monte Carlo method; mortality; protection; sex ratio; time factor, Age Distribution; Bayes Theorem; Coronary Disease; Diet Surveys; Dietary Fats; Fatty Acids, Omega-6; Female; Humans; Male; Markov Chains; Monte Carlo Method; Protective Factors; Recommended Dietary Allowances; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sex Distribution; Time Factors; Trans Fatty Acids TODO - Background: Saturated fat (SFA), x-6 (n-6) polyunsaturated fat (PUFA), and trans fat (TFA) influence risk of coronary heart disease (CHD), but attributable CHD mortalities by country, age, sex, and time are unclear. Methods and Results: National intakes of SFA, n-6 PUFA, and TFA were estimated using a Bayesian hierarchical model based on country-specific dietary surveys; food availability data; and, for TFA, industry reports on fats/oils and packaged foods. Etiologic effects of dietary fats on CHD mortality were derived from meta-analyses of prospective cohorts and CHD mortality rates from the 2010 Global Burden of Diseases study. Absolute and proportional attributable CHD mortality were computed using a comparative risk assessment framework. In 2010, nonoptimal intakes of n-6 PUFA, SFA, and TFA were estimated to result in 711 800 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 680 700-745 000), 250 900 (95% UI 236 900-265 800), and 537 200 (95% UI 517 600-557 000) CHD deaths per year worldwide, accounting for 10.3% (95% UI 9.9%-10.6%), 3.6%, (95% UI 3.5%-3.6%) and 7.7% (95% UI 7.6%-7.9%) of global CHD mortality. Tropical oil-consuming countries were estimated to have the highest proportional n-6 PUFA- and SFAattributable CHD mortality, whereas Egypt, Pakistan, and Canada were estimated to have the highest proportional TFA-attributable CHD mortality. From 1990 to 2010 globally, the estimated proportional CHD mortality decreased by 9% for insufficient n-6 PUFA and by 21% for higher SFA, whereas it increased by 4% for higher TFA, with the latter driven by increases in low- and middle-income countries. Conclusions: Nonoptimal intakes of n-6 PUFA, TFA, and SFA each contribute to significant estimated CHD mortality, with important heterogeneity across countries that informs nation-specific clinical, public health, and policy priorities. © 2016 The Authors. ER -