TY - JOUR TI - Can a surgeon predict the longevity of a total hip replacement? AU - Lampropoulou-Adamidou, K. AU - Karachalios, T. AU - Megas, P. AU - Petsatodis, G. AU - Vlamis, J. AU - Hartofilakidis, G. JO - HIP International PY - 2020 VL - 30 TODO - 5 SP - 523-529 PB - SAGE Publications Ltd SN - 1120-7000, 1724-6067 TODO - 10.1177/1120700019839685 TODO - bone cement; prednisone, acetabulum; adult; arthroscopy; Article; avascular necrosis; body mass; bone density; clinical outcome; congenital hip dislocation; demography; female; femur epiphysis; follow up; hip dysplasia; human; interrater reliability; life expectancy; longevity; major clinical study; male; middle aged; operation duration; orthopedic surgeon; osteoarthritis; physical activity; preoperative evaluation; rheumatoid arthritis; slipped capital femoral epiphysis; spondylolisthesis; surgical technique; total hip replacement; tuberculosis; aged; hip prosthesis; hip replacement; predictive value; prosthesis complication; reoperation; reproducibility; surgeon; time factor, Adult; Aged; Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip; Female; Hip Prosthesis; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Predictive Value of Tests; Prosthesis Failure; Reoperation; Reproducibility of Results; Surgeons; Time Factors TODO - Introduction: The purpose of this study was to examine the ability of a surgeon to predict survival of a total hip replacement (THR) based on the patient’s diagnosis, demographics, postoperative activity level and the surgical technique. Methods: 4 experienced hip surgeons were asked to predict the longevity of 131 Charnley THRs, performed by the senior author (GH) 22–35 years ago, by providing them with pre- and postoperative radiographs, and data concerning patient’s diagnosis, demographics, postoperative activity level and the surgical technique. This process was repeated 3 months later. Results: There was only a slight agreement between the majority of the predictions and actual outcome. The inter-observer agreement was also slight and intra-observer agreement ranged from slight to moderate. Conclusion: We confirmed that surgeons are unable to determine the life expectancy of the implants of a THR, based on the aforementioned data, because there are other non-identified factors that affect the survivorship of a THR. For this reason, regular follow-up remains the safest way to evaluate patients’ clinical picture and the evolution of radiographic changes, if there are any, in order to accurately advise patients and decide on the appropriate time for revision. © The Author(s) 2019. ER -