TY - JOUR TI - The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma decreases after the first 5 years of entecavir or tenofovir in Caucasians with chronic hepatitis B AU - Papatheodoridis, G.V. AU - Idilman, R. AU - Dalekos, G.N. AU - Buti, M. AU - Chi, H. AU - van Boemmel, F. AU - Calleja, J.L. AU - Sypsa, V. AU - Goulis, J. AU - Manolakopoulos, S. AU - Loglio, A. AU - Siakavellas, S. AU - Keskın, O. AU - Gatselis, N. AU - Hansen, B.E. AU - Lehretz, M. AU - de la Revilla, J. AU - Savvidou, S. AU - Kourikou, A. AU - Vlachogiannakos, I. AU - Galanis, K. AU - Yurdaydin, C. AU - Berg, T. AU - Colombo, M. AU - Esteban, R. AU - Janssen, H.L.A. AU - Lampertico, P. JO - Annals of Hepatology PY - 2017 VL - 66 TODO - 5 SP - 1444-1453 PB - John Wiley and Sons Inc SN - null TODO - 10.1002/hep.29320 TODO - alpha fetoprotein; entecavir; hepatitis B surface antigen; tenofovir; virus DNA; antivirus agent; entecavir; guanine; tenofovir, adult; alcohol consumption; antiviral therapy; Article; cancer incidence; cancer risk; Caucasian; chronic hepatitis B; cohort analysis; disease severity; female; follow up; human; liver cell carcinoma; liver cirrhosis; liver stiffness; major clinical study; male; priority journal; transient elastography; treatment duration; aged; analogs and derivatives; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular; clinical trial; complication; Europe; Hepatitis B, Chronic; incidence; Liver Neoplasms; middle aged; multicenter study; risk factor; virology, Adult; Aged; Antiviral Agents; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular; Cohort Studies; Europe; European Continental Ancestry Group; Female; Guanine; Hepatitis B, Chronic; Humans; Incidence; Liver Neoplasms; Male; Middle Aged; Risk Factors; Tenofovir TODO - Whether there is a change of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence in chronic hepatitis B patients under long-term therapy with potent nucleos(t)ide analogues is currently unclear. We therefore assessed the HCC incidence beyond year 5 of entecavir/tenofovir (ETV/TDF) therapy and tried to determine possible factors associated with late HCC occurrence. This European, 10-center, cohort study included 1,951 adult Caucasian chronic hepatitis B patients without HCC at baseline who received ETV/TDF for ≥1 year. Of them, 1,205 (62%) patients without HCC within the first 5 years of therapy have been followed for 5-10 (median, 6.8) years. HCCs have been diagnosed in 101/1,951 (5.2%) patients within the first 5 years and 17/1,205 (1.4%) patients within 5-10 years. The yearly HCC incidence rate was 1.22% within and 0.73% after the first 5 years (P = 0.050). The yearly HCC incidence rate did not differ within and after the first 5 years in patients without cirrhosis (0.49% versus 0.47%, P = 0.931), but it significantly declined in patients with cirrhosis (3.22% versus 1.57%, P = 0.039). All HCCs beyond year 5 developed in patients older than 50 years at ETV/TDF onset. Older age, lower platelets at baseline and year 5, and liver stiffness ≥12 kPa at year 5 were independently associated with more frequent HCC development beyond year 5 in multivariable analysis. No patient with low Platelets, Age, Gender-Hepatitis B score at baseline or year 5 developed HCC. Conclusion: The HCC risk decreases beyond year 5 of ETV/TDF therapy in Caucasian chronic hepatitis B patients, particularly in those with compensated cirrhosis; older age (especially ≥50 years), lower platelets, and liver stiffness ≥12 kPa at year 5 represent the main risk factors for late HCC development. (Hepatology 2017;66:1444–1453). © 2017 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. ER -