Summary:
Each era of the historical course of humanity is characterized by its own inequalities-rivalries and controversies. Some were expressed in traditional warfare, but others took the form of rebellion, resistance, armed disobedience or even extreme individual protest. The reason was sometimes political rivalry and sometimes economic inequality or religious fanaticism. During the Cold War, the bipolar system, with the logic of preventing or balancing terror, managed to never have to mobilize one system against another, and for 50 years peace was guaranteed. But as the collapse of bipolarity brought us globalization, technological advances, and the Internet communication revolution, all those parameters that promised at the end of the 20th century the dawn of a new new world, their asymmetric threats came to play their part. bizarre and certainly catalytic role in the pursuit of power and influence.
In new forms of threats, opponents and results are disproportionate, either to the nature of the traditional confrontation or to the nature of the purpose. Characteristic of these conflicts are the disproportion in destructiveness, the intimidation achieved mainly by surprise, the sacrifice of civilians, the extremes in the use of means and the asymmetry between the execution of an act, and the practices for dealing with it.
The 9/11 attacks revealed that actors with weak military and technical means have such offensive capabilities that allow them to inflict irreparable damage on the first world power. It is worth wondering, however, whether this is a new example of asymmetric warfare or a new type of war.
As humanity enters its third millennium, there is intense uncertainty about the threats that nations and the international community will face. In the post-Cold War era, the dangers and external threats to the security of a state are not only of a military nature, they can not be dealt with only by military means, while the cooperation of all stakeholders requires the use of all the "arsenal" at the disposal of a state.
Today, the world community is rather in a state of transitional uncertainty, where the rivalry between governments and societies will not be as in the past between nation-states, but international-cultural. Some analysts even believe that the most dangerous future conflicts will be between the industrialized democracies of the West and the non-democratic world. What frightens established democracies the most is tackling the significant threat of weapons of mass destruction.
The collapse of the bipolar system significantly weakened the main threat of a world war, but led to the emergence of "power gaps" in the former Eastern Europe, Transcaucasia and Central Asia, which allowed a resurgence of a number of local and regional and regional conflicts. the emergence of new civilian threats, which the logic of the bipolar system had managed to bring under its control or to "freeze".
As a result, the strategic environment remains complex and potentially dangerous, with order and security not working. The constant transformation of international terrorism, the extreme form of violence of Islamic terrorism, the growing illegal immigration of hundreds of thousands of people, the uncontrolled movement of weapons of mass destruction, nationalist conflicts, cyber-terrorism, water management, Environmental pollution and the use of space for political purposes are just a few of the puzzles that pose an existing threat to international stability and security. These threats do not pose the risk of a major conventional war against the forces of the developed world, but they do pose equal, perhaps greater, risks. In terms of consequences for human lives, economic damage, political costs, psychological impact at home and the internationally declining prestige or image of a powerful superpower, the situation is little different from a real war.
But the sweeping changes at the international level, the post-bipolar economy of forces, the shaping of new security parameters, the handling of crises in the emerging new environment of global and regional security, the generalized demographic problem in the western world, and the new form of threats and threats. have resulted in a different form, structure, composition and strategy for the armed forces and their role in this completely different field.
Keywords:
Existing threats, global security, nationalism, Islam, fontametalism, mafia, drugs,biological weapons, cyberwar
